Representative Weiner’s indiscretions have kept us all entertained for the last week or two, but the unfortunate downside to Representative Weiner’s escapades on Twitter and Facebook is that he will resign from his congressional seat.
Since Weiner is representing a congressional district in New York City, people might assume that his seat will automatically go to Democrats, but that remains to be seen. The results of a possible election are a little more complicated to predict than most would guess for a reasons, one of which is the election is a special election or a general election and when the election will take place.
To help you understand possible election scenarios in Weiner’s district, I’ve included a quote from David Weigel’s blog post in Slate:
If Weiner officially resigns before July 7 (and he is), and the governor does not call a special election, there can be a normal election; if he does call a special, it's up to local parties to nominate their candidates to replace Weiner.
If there are other key Democratic races on the ballot at the same time as the potential replacements for Representative Weiner are, the Democratic candidate will obviously have a much better chance to reclaim the seat. That said, it’s important to note that two recent resignations for sex scandals in New York state cost the incumbent’s party the seat.
Another possible scenario outlined by the New York Times involves redistricting Weiner’s district. As it stands now, New York state will lose two of its twenty-nine congressional seats as a result of the 2000 census. The congressional districts which surround the ninth congressional district are more liberal than the ninth district. As it stands now, New York state will lose two of its twenty-nine congressional seats. The ninth congressional seat could either be dissolved entirely or it could be pieced out to the neighboring districts. Both redistricting solutions are complex; for a detailed graph and map of New York’s redistricting options, please look HERE. If the ninth district is targeted for redistricting, it basically means that whoever is elected to the Weiner’s seat will not be in office for very long.
Although President Obama fared well in Weiner’s congressional district, New York City is typically considered a liberal enclave and the president did not fare as well in the ninth as he did in some other New York districts. In addition, he only received five percent more of the vote in the ninth district than he did in the rest of the nation.